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Being
Right? Or Making Money!
When a market timer (or any trader or investor) makes
a trading decision based on a news event, fear of losing
out on a rally or of losing money in a sell off, or even
the stock broker neighbor's trading tip, he or she is trading
on emotions.
Wishing Your Were Right
Trading on emotions, news events, market rallies, etc. is basically trading
on a WISH.
There is no basis for the trade, at least none that can be counted on to last.
There is nothing but "the moment." The trader wishes he or she will be right.
Odds of winning? Slim.
Trades made on wishes have no plan behind them. There
is no exit strategy. Invariably, the trade is held until
losses become painful enough to force the trader to emotionally
sell at a loss.
In fact, probably the worst thing that can happen is for a market timer to
make a trading decision based on such an emotional event, and then be profitable
the very first time!
Not that there is anything wrong with being profitable. But very soon that
same trader will be looking at a losing trade, and the confidence of that first
win is likely to cost him or her dearly.
Making Money
No one makes money on Wall Street without a trading plan. No One!
Sure, the person with an initial profit can feel great for awhile. And really,
really long term investors, those who can afford to watch several bear markets
whack 50% to 80% off their savings every 10 years or so, will eventually make
money.
When we say long term, we mean 20 to 30 years! If you sit tight, you will likely
make a profit. That is, as long as you do not panic and sell at a bottom. or
become greedy and "double up" with margin (almost always at market tops). And,
as long as you do not reach retirement age at the same time a multi-year bear
market starts.
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There is only "one way" to be certain of being profitable.
| "...a
successful trading plan that creates unemotional
buy and sell decisions will, over time, make
even the most emotional person, a successful
(profitable) market timer." |
By having, and following absolutely, a finely tuned
trading plan that capitalizes on "trends" in the stock
market.
Market timers who have a strategy for entering and exiting positions, and who
follow their rules, on a timely basis without hesitation, make money.
Those who trade by daily news events, daily or weekly rallies & declines,
and TV hype, will "always" end up losing money. Remember, for every winning
trade in the stock market, there is a losing trade on the other side. Only
those who follow a plan consistently make the winning trades.
One of the most important questions you must ask yourself is:
Do you want to BE RIGHT for a short time. Or do you want to MAKE MONEY for
a long time.
Winning Market Timers Know the Secret
Ignore the news. Ignore the daily ups and downs. You have no control over them
anyway. No one knows what the next day will bring. No one!
Wishing will not help. Watching the financial news religiously will not help.
There is just no way to know what will happen tomorrow, or even what will happen
next week.
But a successful trading plan that creates unemotional buy and sell decisions
will, over time, make even the most emotional person, a successful (profitable)
market timer.
At FibTimer, we provide the plans. All you need do is follow the signals.
But a few simple rules do apply.
1. Subscribers should make sure they know how each of our timing strategies
works. Read the details and trading rules at the bottom of each report. They
will help you build confidence in the trading strategy.
2. Be sure you know your own emotional ability to
handle trading. Aggressive strategies require more
trading. If this keeps you up at night worrying, consider
one of the active or conservative strategies. Remember,
you do not need to trade aggressively to do well, you
just need to follow the buy and sell signals diligently.
3. Subscribers who are new to market timing should
not jump right into an aggressive timing strategy.
No matter how positive you are that aggressive timing
is for you, it is better to start with something a
bit tamer in the beginning.
4. Diversify. It is not a good idea to place all your
timing funds in one strategy. Consider three or even
more. Or follow our Diversified Portfolio strategy
that breaks up your timing into five different positions.
Build confidence by starting slowly. When you are confident, you will follow
the signals. And following the signals is the key to being profitable.
Recent articles from the Fibtimer market timing services;
© Copyright 1996-2019, Market Timing Strategies, Inc.,
All Rights Reserved.
Fibtimer reports may not be redistributed without
permission.
Disclaimer: The financial markets are risky. Investing is
risky. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or
sell any security. Opinions are based on historical research
and data believed reliable, but there is no guarantee that
future results will be profitable. |
