Market Timer, Know Yourself
FibTimer's success depends on "your" success.
We want you to be successful. To achieve this requires
not only successful market timing strategies, which we
provide, but subscribers must also follow those strategies
correctly.
One of the most difficult tasks for us at FibTimer, is trying to help subscribers
understand what is required to achieve success in market timing. We can publish
the reports, but if the strategies are not followed correctly, the odds of being
profitable diminish.
This commentary covers some of the questions we would
ask every subscriber if we could talk to them personally.
Know Your Limits
Subscribers should use the strategies that suit them
best. We have aggressive, active, and conservative timing
strategies. Make sure you know what sort of timing strategy
you are emotionally able to handle.
A novice market timer, who jumps right into an aggressive timing strategy,
might have a difficult time when facing several trades in a fast market. It
does not happen often, but it can happen.
If you are conservative, use a conservative
strategy. If you are a bit more aggressive, use the active strategies. Remember
that you do not have to make lots of trades to be profitable. During volatile
markets our more conservative strategies are often the best performers.
Jumping The Gun
Another concern is new subscribers who trade immediately.
Entering a new position "before" a new bullish or bearish
signal has been issued. We understand the urge to jump
in and get started, but in reality, "mid-signal" entries
are usually more risky than waiting for a new buy or
sell signal. When a subscriber enters on his or her own,
mid-trade, the result may be losses
that should never have happened.
"...Patience
is a key element to successful market timing." |
Patience is a key element to successful market timing.
You cannot rush profits. You "can" rush losses though.
So take your time and enter properly. You have years of
timing ahead. The markets have been around for hundreds
of years. They are not going anywhere. Wait and do it right.
The Strategies
Our conservative and active strategies are designed to
manage risk in volatile, or sideways markets, and to
correctly place us in bullish or bearish trends when
they occur.
Aggressive strategies often make their biggest gains during
bear markets. When everyone else is losing, the bearish
positions are making profits. A 20% market loss equals
a 20% gain for the timer, which is 40% better than the
market.
The aggressive strategies are often, though not always,
the most profitable over time. But if you exit the strategy
after a small loss, you will not be profitable when
the strategies catch a strong bearish (or bullish) trend.
There is an old saying, "If you cannot accept a loss,
than you will never succeed in the markets." If you feel
you will worry over multiple trades, or may not have the
discipline to stay with trades that at times go against
the market, use the conservative or active strategies.
Diversification
This all brings to mind the next important subject. Market
timers should diversify. Putting all your eggs in one basket
just does not make sense. No strategy is perfect. Every
strategy will have periods of non-performance. This is
a fact of trading the markets.
"...If
you have all your timing funds allocated to a single
strategy, you are just hurting your chances of
success." |
If you have all your timing funds allocated to a single
strategy, you are just hurting your chances of success.
If you have the funds available, use several strategies.
If you do not have the funds available to diversify properly,
stay with the Conservative S&P Timer. It just makes
sense. if you do, consider the Diversified Timing Strategy
which has diversification built in.
Committing
Finally, there are those subscribers who wait to see
if a signal is correct before following it. This again
diminishes the ability of our risk management, built
into the strategies, to work correctly.
In the aggressive
and active strategies, the price
we enter at, can be quite different than an entry made
two or three days later. This potential is somewhat
lessened in the conservative strategies which typically
hold positions for considerably longer periods of time,
but still should considered.
Recent articles from the FibTimer market timing services;
Maintaining Discipline Easier Said Than Done
The Search For Overnight Riches
Trading Trends For Profits
Investor or Trader... Which Are You?
Wishing Upon a Star
Market Timing Facts vs. Market Timing Fiction
Buy-And-Hold? It Works...If You Have 40 Years Or So
Successful Market Timing With FibTimer
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© Copyright 1996-2010, Market Timing Strategies, Inc.,
All Rights Reserved.
FibTimer reports may not be redistributed without
permission.
Disclaimer: The financial markets are risky. Investing is
risky. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or
sell any security. Opinions are based on historical research
and data believed reliable, but there is no guarantee that
future results will be profitable. |