The Desire For Immediate Success
While the desire to succeed in market timing is perfectly
fine, the desire for immediate profits and winning trades
is not.
The desires that motivate your trading could mean the
difference between success and failure. We market time
the financial markets to make money, not to satisfy our
emotional needs.
Motivated By Immediate Rewards
Very simply, the market is unlikely to hand them to you. Although market timing
is all about being profitable, it is not about satisfying our emotional needs.
Rather, it is the following of a rational plan to create wealth over time.
A winning market timer must tirelessly execute a trading strategy that will
often come into conflict with the timer's emotions. The outcome of any one
buy or sell may not produce a profit. It's quite possible that the overall
outcome of a series of buys or sells may not produce a profit. It's essential
that these possibilities be acknowledged.
People are motivated by rewards and in modern society that usually means money.
The more money we are offered, the harder we work. Perhaps you were attracted
to market timing because of the large potential profits you can make over time.
It's natural to want to receive a reward for your hard work.
But if you expect an immediate reward for your effort and it isn't forthcoming,
you'll be frustrated and disappointed. And when it comes to market timing,
immediate rewards aren't always there.
For example, everyone expects to get paid on the date their paycheck is due,
but have you observed what happens when a paycheck is late? Everyone is quite
frustrated and some people can get very angry. People were expecting a hard
earned reward but received no reward.
"It is essential
for a market timer to think in terms of the big picture, and in terms
of probabilities." |
Unless one has the right perspective, market timing can feel that way also.
One may put in an enormous effort and receive no "immediate" reward for it.
If one is "expecting" an immediate reward, it can be frustrating and disappointing
when it does not appear. That is why it is important to take the proper perspective
with market timing, and the proper perspective can only be based by looking
at timing results over a long time frame.
The Big Picture And Laws Of Probability
It is essential for a market timer to think in terms of the big picture, and
in terms of probabilities. You must realize that the outcome of any one buy or
sell signal is not significant. It's the outcome over time that matters.
The more trades you make with a winning trading strategy, the more the law of
averages will work in your favor, and across the series of trades, you'll be
profitable.
Market conditions, as we all know, are not always conducive to our plans. This
is a reality of market timing and it's necessary to prepare for it. If you are
aware of this, you'll be less likely to react emotionally to losing trades, and
also less likely to make bad decisions when they occur.
Seeing the big picture, and sticking to the trading plan, are the keys to timing
success.
Conclusion
If you anticipate that you won't win on a single buy or sell signal, you will
not feel disappointed when it happens.
If you acknowledge that you may not profit even after a series of buy or sell
signals, you will similarly be able to deal with it, bounce back, and be ready
to take the next trade.
But on the other hand, if you aren't prepared for these possibilities, you'll
feel frustrated and disappointed. You may feel like giving up on timing.
Some market timers hit the jackpot and start timing right at the beginning of
a profitable trend. Those who started in mid 2008 and took our bearish positions
made immediate huge profits.
Those who started in early 2009 made profits in excess of 50%. Those who started
in 2010 remain ahead of the market, but there has not been a tradable trend.
When that trend starts we will, of course, be there.
But typically, we start our market timing during difficult market conditions.
The right perspective goes a long way in coping with the inevitable hardballs
that the market throws at us. Those who stay the course reap the rewards
over time.
How do we post the excellent trading results that have been attained in
our various timing strategies? Because the reports follow a disciplined
plan. They follow the buy and sell signals without question. No if's, and's
or but's. Accordingly, over time, they show the profitable results of sticking
to the plan.
Over time, disciplined trading becomes easier. But be careful not to minimize
the importance of self-control and discipline. The more disciplined you
can be, the more profits you will realize.
Recent articles from the FibTimer market timing services;
The Case For Market Timing Diversification
Successful Market Timing DEPENDS On Change
The Basics On Fibonacci Ratios & Elliott Wave Theory
Rules For Market Timing Success
Market Timing Discipline, Not As Easy As You Thought.
Discipline Equals Profits For Market Timers
Have The Markets Changed? Part 2
Have The Markets Changed?
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All Rights Reserved.
FibTimer reports may not be redistributed without
permission.
Disclaimer: The financial markets are risky. Investing is
risky. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or
sell any security. Opinions are based on historical research
and data believed reliable, but there is no guarantee that
future results will be profitable. |