Following A Market
Timing Strategy
When it comes to making decisions, our minds tend to perceive
and react to the information available to us, each in its
own particular way. This is not something we think much
about. It is a part of each of us. Trying to change this
process is almost impossible.
This is usually not of any consequence in our everyday
lives, but in the realm of investing, our perceptions and
reactions, and the emotions they generate, are very often
the opposite of what is needed to be successful.
How do we start making consistently correct trading decisions?
How do we make decisions without emotions interfering?
How do we trade with confidence?
The answer is simple. We follow an unemotional timing strategy
which keeps us on the path to profitability. Strategies
that have been profitable for many years in real-time trading.
Strategies that keep us with the current trend.
Gunslingers
Many traders, market timers, investors have no plan at
all. They are like the proverbial Gunslingers of the Old
West. A news event causes the market to decline and BANG,
they go short. An economic indicator comes in better than
expected, the market rises, and POW they go long.
Trading
by emotion, they make trades that seem solid at the
time, and they hold that position until it becomes more
painful to hold it than to not hold it. They may even make
an occasional profit.
"...Why
do so many traders sell at bottoms, and buy at
tops?" |
But that lack of focus...lack of planning, will ultimately
lead to poor performance, and to outright losses.
Why do so many traders sell at bottoms, and buy at tops?
It is such a well known fact that it is almost funny, except
when you are the person at that top or bottom.
Have you (or someone you know) ever said, "well, I finally
decided to go long (or short), so expect the market to reverse
on me, again." Actually
expecting" ahead of time" that the trade will be unprofitable.
You will not hear that from someone following a timing strategy.
He or she knows that following the strategy will avoid emotional trading
errors, and lead to long term profits.
Strategy Equals Long Term Success
Trading requires discipline. Some have it, and others that
wish for success must learn it.
The benefit of of following a proven trading strategy is
twofold.
First - If you have a trading strategy,
you'll be able to ignore all the data that doesn't affect
your trading. The media is rough on traders - at any given
time, you could find ten reasons to buy and ten reasons
to sell. That emotional roller coaster is a nightmare,
but if you are following a trading strategy, you won't
talk yourself out of good trades, nor will you keep yourself
in bad ones.
Second - Our emotions cannot cause us
to make unprofitable
decisions if they are not involved in decision making.
We have a trading strategy. We know it works. All we need
do is follow it. Never second guess the trading strategy.
That is allowing your emotions to come back into play,
and emotions result in losses.
Only through following a proven market timing strategy
will you save yourself a great deal of frustration, and
successfully grow your investments.
Recent articles from the FibTimer market timing services;
Money And Emotions
The Grass Is Not Greener On The Other Side
Buy-And-Hold? It Works... If You Have 40 Years Or So
Trading Fears... We All Have Them. Part 2
Trading Fears... We All Have Them.
It's How We Handle Them That Counts.
Focus On The War, Not The Battle
Critical Issues For Market Timers
Hope May Spring Eternal, But It Won't Make You Money
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All Rights Reserved.
FibTimer reports may not be redistributed without
permission.
Disclaimer: The financial markets are risky. Investing is
risky. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or
sell any security. Opinions are based on historical research
and data believed reliable, but there is no guarantee that
future results will be profitable. |